Monday, February 10, 2014

Another Special Weather Statement With Freezing Rain & Snow Again Falling On North Texas

This morning my computer based weather monitoring device is flashing red. I clicked on the flashing red to see the dreaded "SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT" announcement.

I clicked on the "SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT" to learn that the National Weather Service is once again predicting incoming icy cold, this time coming in from Nevada.

Last week the weather predictors missed the mark on their prediction, with the predicted snow falling in amounts more copious than predicted, resulting in extremely slippery roads, which were not predicted.

So, even though the forecasters are forecasting just a little sleet along with a little snow, with only a fraction of an inch accumulating, with most roadways and city streets remaining warm enough to remain wet, I am going to assume the forecasters may be off in their forecast, once again, and so I will refrain from driving anywhere tomorrow, lest I find myself in a repeat of last week's slippery icy scare.

Below is the aforementioned SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT....

...LIGHT WINTRY PRECIPITATION WILL AFFECT NORTH AND CENTRAL TEXAS MONDAY NIGHT THROUGH TUESDAY EVENING...

AN UPPER LEVEL DISTURBANCE MOVING THROUGH NEVADA THIS MORNING WILL MOVE ACROSS THE ROCKIES TODAY AND ACROSS THE SOUTHERN PLAINS LATE TUESDAY. AS TEMPERATURES FALL BELOW FREEZING TONIGHT AND SPREAD SOUTHWARD...A MIXTURE OF LIGHT FREEZING RAIN AND LIGHT SLEET IS EXPECTED TO DEVELOP NORTH OF A COMANCHE TO EMORY LINE. AFTER MIDNIGHT AREAS SOUTH OF THIS LINE WILL SEE LIGHT RAIN BECOME MIXED OR CHANGE OVER TO LIGHT FREEZING RAIN.

ON TUESDAY MORNING...TEMPERATURES ACROSS THE REGION WILL BE BELOW FREEZING AND LIGHT FREEZING RAIN WILL BECOME MIXED WITH OR CHANGE OVER TO LIGHT SLEET. SOME LIGHT SNOW WILL ALSO FALL ALONG THE RED RIVER VALLEY ON TUESDAY MORNING WITH SNOWFALL AMOUNTS AROUND ONE TENTH OF AN INCH POSSIBLE. AS TEMPERATURES WARM TO OR ABOVE FREEZING ON TUESDAY AFTERNOON...THE PRECIPITATION WILL BECOME A MIX OF LIGHT RAIN...LIGHT SNOW OR LIGHT SLEET NORTH OF A LAMPASAS TO CENTERVILLE LINE. ON TUESDAY EVENING...THE WINTRY PRECIPITATION WILL BE ENDING WEST TO EAST AND SHOULD MOVE OUT OF THE REGION BY MIDNIGHT.

PRECIPITATION AMOUNTS ARE EXPECTED TO BE LIGHT DURING THIS EVENT...BUT WILL BE ENOUGH TO CAUSE A LIGHT GLAZING OF A FEW HUNDREDTHS OF AN INCH MAINLY ELEVATED SURFACES SUCH AS BRIDGES AND OVERPASSES. ALTHOUGH MOST ROADWAYS AND CITY STREETS WILL REMAIN JUST WARM ENOUGH TO REMAIN WET...THOSE ALONG AND NORTH OF THE I-20 CORRIDOR MAY BECOME ICY AND HAZARDOUS WHERE ROADS HAVE TIME TO CHILL TO OR BELOW FREEZING.
PLEASE STAY TUNED TO LATER WEATHER FORECASTS...AS SUBTLE CHANGES IN UPSTREAM SYSTEM BEHAVIOR CAN PRODUCE CHANGES IN THE DETAILS OF THE FORECAST.

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