Thursday, January 3, 2013

Blog Post #5,000 With Snow In The Forecast For North Texas

I was shocked, shocked I tell you, seconds ago, when I saw that this blog post I am currently typing is blog post #5,000.

Five thousand.

That is a lot of weather reports.

A weather report being the subject of blog post #5,000, seems like the right thing to do.

As you can see, the National Weather Service has issued a Alert.....

SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT
Now - Thursday, Jan 3, 3:00pm

...WINTER WEATHER OUTLOOK FOR LATE TONIGHT THROUGH FRIDAY MORNING...
A STORM SYSTEM WILL ORGANIZE ACROSS NEW MEXICO AND WEST TEXAS LATER TODAY INTO TONIGHT...BEFORE LIFTING NORTHEAST ACROSS OKLAHOMA AND KANSAS DURING THE DAY ON FRIDAY. MEANWHILE...A COLD POLAR AIRMASS WILL REMAIN IN PLACE ACROSS NORTH TEXAS AS THE STORM SYSTEMS LIFTS NORTHEAST. CURRENT ATMOSPHERIC PROFILES INDICATE LOW LEVELS OF THE ATMOSPHERE WILL BE DRY AND COLD INITIALLY WITH TIME NEEDED TO SATURATED THE ATMOSPHERIC COLUMN FOR WINTER PRECIPITATION TO OCCUR. SATURATION OF THE COLUMN IS EXPECTED TO ENHANCE OVERNIGHT TONIGHT AS THE SYSTEM AND LIFT APPROACHES THE AREA FROM THE WEST. LIGHT SNOW DEVELOPING ACROSS WEST-CENTRAL TEXAS WILL SPREAD INTO FAR WESTERN PARTS OF NORTH TEXAS AFTER MIDNIGHT. VERY LIGHT SNOW OR SLEET...OR EVEN FLURRIES MAY OCCUR AS FAR EAST AS INTERSTATE 35 BY SUNRISE FRIDAY MORNING...THOUGH THE LOWER LEVELS OF THE ATMOSPHERE ARE EXPECTED TO REMAIN DRIER THE FURTHER EAST YOU GO ACROSS NORTH TEXAS.

MANY UNCERTAINTIES EXIST AMONGST FORECAST MODELS REGARDING STORM TRACK...LOW LEVEL MOISTURE AVAILABILITY...AND WHERE THE BEST LIGHT SLEET OR SNOW ACCUMULATIONS WILL OCCUR EARLY FRIDAY MORNING. THERE WILL BE A VERY TIGHT GRADIENT BETWEEN LOCATIONS THAT RECEIVE LOWER AMOUNTS AND THOSE THAT RECEIVE A DUSTING OR EVEN JUST A FEW FLURRIES OR PELLETS OF SLEET. AREAS WITH TERRAIN ACROSS WESTERN NORTH TEXAS COULD BECOME IMPACTED AND ICY BY SUNRISE FRIDAY WITH ANY LIGHT ACCUMULATIONS OF SNOW OR SLEET.

BOTTOM LINE...THE BEST CHANCES FOR LIGHT ACCUMULATIONS OF SLEET OR SNOW WILL BE SOUTHWEST OF A BRECKENRIDGE TO TEMPLE LINE ON FRIDAY MORNING...WITH JUST A DUSTING TO A FEW FLURRIES POSSIBLE FURTHER TO THE NORTH AND EAST. TEMPERATURES ARE EXPECTED TO WARM INTO THE 40S FRIDAY AFTERNOON WITH PRECIPITATION EITHER MIXING OR CHANGING OVER TO ALL RAIN. PLEASE CONTINUE TO MONITOR THE LATEST FORECAST UPDATES THROUGH TONIGHT REGARDING THE POTENTIAL FOR WINTER WEATHER... ESPECIALLY ACROSS WESTERN SECTIONS OF NORTH TEXAS.

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